New book publication: Design and Analysis of Time Series Experiments

SimLab Director Dr. Richard McCleary, co-author Dr. David McDowell, and SimLab Graduate Student Brad Bartos published a new book. Design and Analysis of Time Series Experiments presents the elements of statistical time series analysis while also addressing recent developments in research design and causal modeling. A distinguishing feature of the book is its integration of design and analysis of time series experiments. Readers learn not only how-to skills but also the underlying rationales for design features and analytical methods. Building on the earlier time series books by McCleary and McDowall, Design and Analysis of Time Series Experiments includes recent developments in modeling, and considers design issues in greater detail than does any existing work. Read more about the book and purchase here: https://global.oup.com/academic/product/design-and-analysis-of-time-series-experiments-9780190661564?cc=us&lang=en&#

Manuscript Published to SSRN: Generic Discrete-Event Simulation Model of a Prison

SimLab graduate student Bradley J. Bartos and SimLab Director Dr. Richard McCleary published a new paper to SSRN, “Generic Discrete-Event Simulation Model of a Prison”. The paper describes a generic discrete-event simulation (DES) model of a prison system. The model tracks individual entities through a prison “career,” beginning with admission and ending with release from custody. Career stage transitions are modeled as discrete events that occur in real time. With each career transition (or state-change) the model pauses to update the appropriate subpopulation databases. Entities carry information tags into and through the model. The tags can be used to create arbitrary subpopulations for forecasting or analysis. Download a version of the paper here.

Manuscript under review: Restoration to Competency of Forensic Patients in California with Dementia/Alzheimer’s Disease

SimLab graduate students Bradley J. Bartos,  Matthew Renner, & Carol Newark along with SimLab Director Dr. Richard McCleary and UCI Criminology professor Dr. Nicholas Scurich have a forthcoming publication, “Restoration to Competency of Forensic Patients in California with Dementia/Alzheimer’s Disease”. The study focuses on criminal defendants found incompetent to stand trial (IST) are sent to state hospitals for treatment to be restored to competency. IST patients diagnosed with dementia and related disorders present a particular challenge to clinicians, since they must be restored successfully within a statutorily mandated timeframe (e.g., 3 years in California for defendants charged with a felony offense). This study examined a comprehensive dataset that included all forensic patients served by California’s Department of State Hospitals from September 2003-February 2016. Download the manuscript here.