2020 Graduate Statistics I

Sociology 221A:  Graduate Statistics I  (69720)

Tuesday/Thursday 12:00pm-1:20pm

Location:  Remote instruction via zoom

Instructor:  Evan Schofer

Contact:  schofer@uci.edu

Office Hours:  Thursday 1:30-2:30pm

Lab Instructor / TA:  MacKenzie Christensen

contact:  mackenac@uci.edu

Office Hours:  Tuesday 10:00am-11:30am, or by appointment

 

Overview

This course covers the basic principles of statistics necessary to conduct social science research.  These include basic descriptive and inferential statistics, with emphasis on commonly used methods such as crosstabs, and OLS regression.  In addition, the course laboratory provides instruction in the use of a statistical software package Stata.

 

Readings

The course uses on a common statistics textbook:

Agresti, Alan.  2017.  Statistical Methods for the Social Sciences, Fifth edition.  Pearson.

You may also use the 4th edition (written with Barbara Finlay), which is less expensive.

Also, there is a book to help you learn statistical analysis using Stata:

Acock, Alan.  2018.  A Gentle Introduction to Stata, Sixth Edition.  Stata Press.

I haven’t looked at older editions of this book, but I expect that they would be fine.

 

Course Information

Assignments and evaluation:

Weekly Assignments.  Your final course grade is based on weekly assignments, each weighted equally as 10% of your final course grade.  These assignments may take different forms, including math problem sets, online quizzes, in-class quizzes or tests, lab assignments, or short written papers.

Final grades.  Your final grade will be computed by averaging your grades (weighted as described above).  I may apply a curve to the final combined score to adjust grades (mainly if scores are low).  This typically increases people’s grades (compared to a standard percentage scale where 90%+ are As, 80+ are B’s, etc).  In the event of a borderline grade, I may use my discretion in adjusting grades based on course participation and effort.  Incompletes will not be given, except in unusual circumstance.

COVID Remote Teaching Policies:  I will offer greatly increased flexibility on all course policies, due to the current COVID crisis.  I recognize that people may be experiencing a variety of personal, family, health, financial, and other challenges.  Please reach out to me or the TA if you need accommodation or assistance.

Schedule & reading assignments

NOTE:  I may occasionally make minor changes to the reading assignments.  Any changes will be small and made well in advance of their due date.

Fall 2020:  Oct 1-Dec 11, Holidays on Nov 11, Nov 26, Nov 27.

Class meetings: Oct 1, Oct 6/8, Oct 13/15, Oct 20/22, Oct 27/29, Nov 3/5, Nov 10/12, Nov 17/19, Nov 24, Dec 1/3, Dec 8/10.

 

Week 0 (Oct 1):  Introductions; Data

Review as needed:

Section 2.1:  Variables and Their Measurement

 

Week 1 (Oct 6/8): Data and Descriptive Statistics

Section 1.2:  Descriptive and Inferential Statistics

Section 3.1:  Describing Data with Tables and Graphs

Section 3.2:  Describing the Center of the Data

Lab reading:

Briefly skim:  Intro to Stata, Chapter 1

 

Week 2 (Oct 13/15):  Descriptive statistics, Samples & populations;

Section 3.3:  Describing Variability of the Data

Section 3.4:  Measures of Position

Section 3.6: Sample Statistics and Population Parameters

Lab reading:

Intro to Stata, Chapter 2

 

Week 3 (Oct 20/22):  Probability; Sampling distribution of the mean

Section 4.1:  Introduction to Probability

Section 4.2:  Probability Distributions for Discrete and Continuous Variables

Section 4.3:  The Normal Probability Distribution

Section 4.4:  Sampling Distributions Describe How Statistics Vary

Section 4.5:  Sampling Distribution of the Sample Means

Lab Reading:

Intro to Stata, Chapter 4, Section 4.1-4.3 only.

 

Week 4:  (Oct 27/29):  Confidence Intervals, Statistical Inference, Differences in means

Section 5.3:  Confidence Interval for a Mean

Chapter  6 intro

Section 6.1:  Five Parts of a Significance Test

Section 6.2:  Significance Test for a Mean

Section 6.4:  Decisions and Types of Errors in Tests

Section 6.5:  Limitations of Significance Tests

Lab reading:

Intro to Stata, Chapter 3, Section 3.3-3.5 only.

 

Week 5 (Nov 3/5):  Hypothesis tests for differences in Means

Section 7.3:  Quantitative Data:  Comparing Two Means

Section 12.3: Comparing Several Means:  Analysis of Variation

Lab Reading:

Intro to Stata, Chapter 7, Section 7.1-7.8 only.

 

Week 6:  (Nov 10/12):  Categorical variables:  Comparing proportions, contingency tables

Section 7.2:  Categorical Data:  Comparing Two Proportions

Section 8.1:  Contingency Tables

Section 8.2:  Chi-Squared Test of Independence

Lab Reading:

Intro to Stata, Chapter 6, Section 6.1-6.4 only.

 

Week 7 (Nov 17/19): Associations between categorical variables, odds ratios

Section 8.3:  Residuals:  Detecting the Pattern of Association

Section 8.4:  Measuring Association in Contingency Tables

Section 8.5:  Association Between Ordinal Variables

Lab Reading:

Intro to Stata, Chapter 6, Section 6.5-6.6 only.

Intro to Stata, Chapter 9, Section 9.1-9.3, 9.5-9.6 only.

 

Week 8 (Nov 24):  Correlation and regression

Section 9.1:  Linear Relationships

Section 9.2:  Least Squares Prediction Equation

Section 9.3:  The Linear Regression Model

Section 9.4:  Measuring Linear Association:  The Correlation

Intro to Stata, Chapter 8, Section 8.1-8.5 only.

 

Week 9 (Dec 1/3):  Correlation and Regression

Section 9.5:  Inferences for the Slope and Correlation

Section 9.6:  Model Assumptions and Violations

Intro to Stata, Chapter 8, Section 8.6 only.

Intro to Stata, Chapter 10, Section 10.1-10.2 only.

 

Week 10 (Dec 8/10):  Multiple Regression

Section 10.1:  Association and Causality

Section 10.2:  Controlling for other Variables

Section:  11.1:  The Multiple Regression Model

Section:  11.2:  Multiple Correlation and R-square

Intro to Stata, Chapter 10, Section 10.3-10.7 only.

 

Week 11:  Finals Week

This course has no final exam.  You are done!

 

 

Policies

Assignment Policies:
Section Attendance/Assignments/Quizzes. Unless otherwise indicated by your section instructor, missed in-class activities, in-class or online quizzes, or in-class assignments cannot be done later.
Missed Exams. Typically, students who miss exams receive a zero. DO NOT MAKE TRAVEL PLANS ON THE DATE OF THE MIDTERM OR FINAL EXAM. You are welcome to inquire about alternative exam arrangements, but we may not be able to accommodate you, given the size of the class and the number of requests we typically receive.
Grade Corrections/Changes. If you believe that you received an incorrect grade on an exam or assignment, make an appointment with your TA. If you have spoken with your TA and you feel the issue is still not resolved, let me know.
Cheating, Plagiarism, etc. Academic violations such as cheating and plagiarism will be dealt with very severely, based on the specifics of the case. I may use software to detect text plagiarized from the web or other sources. If requested, students in this course must provide computer copies of their written work for examination by plagiarism detection software.

University Policies
Students in this course must abide by all relevant university policies, ranging from issues of general behavior to academic issues such as plagiarism. It is your responsibility to be aware of university policies.

My Policies
Respect. All participants in this course (including myself) should strive to treat others – and their ideas – with respect. The course material and class discussion will cover sensitive topics ranging from immigration and welfare to racial and ethnic identity. Disagreements may arise. Try to be aware of and show respect for other people’s views and perspectives, even if you do not agree. However, if you find yourself upset by class discussion or feel that students are behaving inappropriately, please raise the issue with your TA or with me – either in class, afterward, or anonymously – so the situation can be addressed. Often, conflicts are rooted in simple misunderstandings, but sometimes they reflect more serious issues that can only be resolved if things are brought to my attention.
Support for inclusion and diversity. UCI is an incredibly diverse institution with regard to race, ethnicity, immigration status, gender identity, language, religion, etc. I seek to provide a supportive and welcoming environment for all, and ask that you do your best to do the same.
Commitment to Learning. There is no point in taking a course if you are not committed to learning. That means doing the readings, showing up, concentrating, and participating in class discussion and group activities. I strive to make the class interesting, but make no mistake: this is not entertainment. We will struggle through ideas and readings that are difficult and may seem boring if you do not yet understand them. It is your responsibility to be committed.

Professionalism. I expect you to conduct yourself professionally. If you show up and do your work, you will most likely do well. If you don’t show up and fail to do the work, expect a bad grade. Take responsibility for your actions. (I really dislike it when students come to me and say “I haven’t been coming to class and missed the exam. But, I really need this course to graduate/keep my financial aid/get into law school/make my parents happy. Can’t you give me a better grade?” If success in this class is really so important to you, just plan ahead and do the work. The course material isn’t that hard!)